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PNM 20230405 (Severe Wx)

Updated: Apr 4, 2023

7:30 am 4 April 2023: Update #1


NWS ILN weather briefing released at 6:30 am on 4 April shows increased risks and impact for Wednesday (5 April 2023) that include Damaging Wind, Tornado, and Hail.


Key takeaways:

  • Escalation from SLIGHT to ENHANCED risk for severe weather;

  • Primary threat is damaging winds;

  • Risk of a strong tornado (risk increases the further northwest);

  • Large damaging hail;

  • Low confidence in the timing ... forecasted threat window is 11 am to 2 pm on Wednesday (however, conditions can always change).


Prepare Now: Reference keywords SEVERE and POWER at http://cc-ema.org/prepare .











NWS weather graph starting at 12 am on Wednesday, 5 April 2023:




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8:30 am 3 April 2023: INITIAL MESSAGE


Prepare Now: Reference keywords SEVERE and POWER at http://cc-ema.org/prepare .


National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a OnePager forecasting the SLIGHT risk for severe weather on late Tuesday and into Wednesday (4-5 April 2023).


NWS messaging: Showers and thunderstorms are forecast on Wednesday. Strong to severe storms will be possible during the afternoon and evening hours. The primary severe weather threat will be damaging winds. Isolated large hail and isolated tornadoes will also be possible. In addition, gusty winds between 40 and 45 mph are forecast outside of precipitation.


SLIGHT risk: Scattered severe possible. Longer-lived storms possible.



The Storm Prediction Center has published DAY 2 & 3 HAZARDOUS OUTLOOKs that include our area:


DAY 2:


DAY 3:


NWS ILN datagraph shows forecast as of 6:51 am on Monday, 3 April 2023:

[END]

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