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20240402 PNM

Updated: Apr 2

Update No. 8 (2:45 pm on Tuesday, 2 April 2024)


Changes: Threat time shifted to 4 pm to 9 pm, with some storms lingering until midnight. Threats continue to be damaging winds, large hail, and strong tornadoes possible.











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Update 7.5 (12:47 pm on Tuesday, 2 April 2024)


The first cluster of storms is nearing our location, but it will be the second line that will be the most concerning.


Arrival times just before 2 pm for some elements.


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Update No. 7 (10:30 am on Tuesday, 2 April 2024)


Threats remain the same, but timing shifts for the afternoon:

  • All Day: Flood Watch in effect thill this evening.

  • 12 Noon to 8 pm: Damaging winds, large hail, several tornadoes (some strong will be possible). Risks for damaging winds and large hail elevated to SIGNIFICANT, and Tornado threat remains SIGNIFICANT. Forecast confidence is medium.


Updated NWS slides:







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Update No. 6 (6 am on Tuesday, 2 April 2024)


Updated threats for Tuesday:

  • All Day: Flood Watch in effect thill this evening.

  • 6 am to 11 am: Damaging winds and large hail, a tornado cannot be ruled out. Risks for damaging winds and large hail elevated to SIGNIFICANT.

  • 3 pm to 10 pm: Damaging winds, large hail, several tornadoes (some strong will be possible). Risks for damaging winds and large hail elevated to SIGNIFICANT, and Tornado threat remains SIGNIFICANT.





Slight shift of threat area to the south (still no change for Clinton County).


Adjusted timing for this afternoon.



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Update No. 5 (5 am on Tuesday, 2 April 2024)


Updated threats for Tuesday:

  • All Day: Flood Watch in effect thill this evening.

  • 4 am to 8 am: Damaging winds and large hail, isolated tornadoes are possible.

  • 3 pm to 10 pm: Damaging winds, large hail, several tornadoes (some strong will be possible). Tornado threat noted as significant.






Moderate rating (15%-29%):

  • Threat: A moderate threat to life and property.

  • Minimum Action: Preparations should be made for a moderate likelihood (or a 15 to 29% probability) of tornadoes; many tornadoes (even families) of F0 to F1 intensity possible.

    • F0 Tornado Damage - Minor tornado damage; damage to chimneys, a few downed trees and power lines, large signs blown over, damaged porches and screen houses, and damaged lighter-weight outbuildings. Tornado wind speeds of 73 mph or less.

    • F1 Tornado Damage - Moderate tornado damage; mobile homes moved off foundations or overturned, roof surfaces peeled off buildings, cars blown off roads, several large trees downed and some power outages. Tornado wind speeds of 74 mph to 112 mph.

  • Potential Impact: The potential for many locations to experience minor to moderate tornado damage (see below). Some tornadoes may have longer damage tracks.



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Update No. 4 (5:30 pm on Monday, 1 April 2024)


Significant increase in weather threats for Monday (1 Apr) and Tuesday (2 Apr).


  • Monday (5 pm Monday to 2 am Tuesday): Damaging winds South of I-70, large hail, and isolated tornadoes possible. Risk rating is 2 out of 5.

  • Tuesday (3 pm to 10 pm): Damaging winds, large hail, and isolated strong tornadoes. 15% - 29% hatched risk for a tornado occurring within 25 miles of a given point within Clinton County (or the majority of the NWS service area). Risk rating is a 4 out of 5. Take this serious!


Note: Recommend each household have that discussion tonight of How to Get The Alert/Warning, Where To Shelter, and What to Do. Reference keywords SEVERE, TORNADO, and POWER at cc-ema.org/prepare


NWS Graphics:


Monday Threat.


Tuesday Threat.


Tuesday Tornado Threat.